Where has the Twin Cities real estate market been and where is it heading? This monthly summary provides an overview of current trends and projections for future activity. Narrated by Andy Fazendin (2013 President, Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS) and Emily Green (2014 President, Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS®), video produced by Chelsie Lopez.
Some say the big story of 2014 will be higher interest rates, some say it will be more inventory while others say it will be less foreclosure activity. The truth is likely to be an amalgamation of all of the above. The year 2013 was marked by variable but steady job growth, a good leading indicator of market activity. While consumers may be uneasy about higher rates, economic improvements can potentially offset any negative impact on affordability. The seasoned agent will recall a time when plenty of consumers were vying for properties when rates were double and triple what they are now.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 18:
- New Listings decreased 8.3% to 989
- Pending Sales decreased 24.8% to 591
- Inventory decreased 9.5% to 11,918
For the month of December:
- Median Sales Price increased 13.1% to $190,050
- Days on Market decreased 20.4% to 86
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.0% to 94.7%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 15.6% to 2.7
All comparisons are to 2013
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.From The Skinny.
The years of 2012 and 2013 are going to be noted as a period of recovery for housing, and 2014 should prove to be more of the same but perhaps with not as much force. As we begin to look for signs of a stabilized residential real estate market, we may see fewer sales than in recent years, but these sales should be of a higher quality in that they will have been made with stronger lending standards to people with stronger jobs in a stronger economy. Even this early in the year, we should begin to see signs of new inventory coming onto the market with a more balanced months’ supply of inventory and well-paced market times.
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 11:
- New Listings decreased 14.6% to 958
- Pending Sales decreased 19.5% to 556
- Inventory decreased 9.8% to 11,810
For the month of December:
- Median Sales Price increased 13.1% to $190,000
- Days on Market decreased 20.4% to 86
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 1.0% to 94.7%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 15.6% to 2.7
All comparisons are to 2013
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.From The Skinny.
2013 by the Numbers
• Sellers listed 72,128 properties on the market, a 9.4 percent increase from 2012 and the first gain in seven years.
• Buyers closed on 53,087 homes, up 8.8 percent from 2012 and the highest figure since 2005.
• Inventory levels dropped 10.5 percent from 2012 to 11,646 units, the lowest level in 11 years.
• Months Supply of Inventory dropped 18.8 percent to 2.6 months, also an 11-year low.
• The Median Sales Price of closed sales rose 14.4 percent to $192,000, marking a five-year high. o This measure of home prices is 16.5 percent below its 2006 peak and 28.0 percent above its 2011 valley
• Cumulative Days on Market was down 29.1 percent to 83 days, on average—an eight-year record pace.
• Lender-mediated properties made up a significantly smaller share of overall activity across multiple metrics
• 21.6 percent of all New Listings were lender-mediated (either foreclosures or short sales), down from 34.7 percent in 2012 and 41.9 percent in 2011
• 25.6 percent of all Inventory was lender-mediated, down from 38.8 percent in 2012 and 44.4 percent in 2011
• 26.4 percent of all Closed Sales were lender-mediated, down from 39.7 percent in 2012 and 50.0 percent in 2011
Potent Quotables
“We are quite pleased with the breadth and depth of this recovery. The increase in seller activity was hugely important. Motivated by still-low interest rates, rising rents and more job opportunities, buyers drove home sales to an eight-year high,” said Emily Green, President of the Minneapolis Area Association of REALTORS®.
“As always, market conditions vary from neighborhood to neighborhood, but homeowners are feeling energized by these ongoing improvements,” said Michael Hunstad, President of the Saint Paul Area Association of REALTORS®. “Though markets vary, many areas of the metro are seeing homes selling in record time and with multiple offers.”
Improvements in the local economy will boost the Twin Cities real estate market in 2014. The outlook is positive: job growth is accelerating, interest rates remain attractive and an unemployment rate well below the nation’s are all reasons our region continues to outperform.
It’s the time of year when housing statistics take a back seat to the resolve associated with a fresh calendar year. Diligent tracking of new listings and pending sales counts tends to give way to weight loss plans and personal financial planning. And you know what? That’s just great! Spending some time focusing on self just may help make 2014 a banner year to match 2013. But if you want to take a quick glance, the data is here for your perusal. Here’s to another great year!
In the Twin Cities region, for the week ending January 4:
- New Listings decreased 18.7% to 678
- Pending Sales decreased 12.4% to 507
- Inventory decreased 4.9% to 12,368
For the month of December:
- Median Sales Price increased 13.7% to $191,000
- Days on Market decreased 20.4% to 86
- Percent of Original List Price Received increased 0.9% to 94.6%
- Months Supply of Inventory decreased 15.6% to 2.7
All comparisons are to 2013
Click here for the full Weekly Market Activity Report.From The Skinny.